Probability-Based Rule Curves for Multi-Purpose Reservoir System in the Seine River Basin, France

نویسندگان

چکیده

Multiple reservoir operation is of paramount importance due to tradeoffs in water supply and their cost functions. Understanding this complexity important for optimizing increasing synergies gained from the joint operation. Therefore, study aimed develop a conceptual framework addressing effects climate change on security under operating rules multiple system northern France. A dynamic programming approach (DP) was employed find cost–benefit analysis that best fit with objectives operation, while space rule applied balance available each parallel system. finite-horizon optimal regulation then adopted determining daily storage based probability-based curves. The results indicated predicted inflow during drawdown–refill cycle period Marne Pannecière reservoirs would be largest lowest, respectively. proposed upper curves high-flow conditions suggested release Aube should postponed July August until September. At 50- 100-year return periods, quite high rate Seine observed dry season. decrease future found summer, withdrawal November could cause excessive tributary Paris City. Under low-flow all lower recommended go below current rule, clear difference (the smallest Pannecière) almost no November. Moreover, web-based support IRMaRA developed revising four main located River Basin. novelty modeling contribute practice deriving multi-reservoir by curve method. Based evaluation applying estimated capacity different both less overflow shortage represented levels quantity severity can expected compared existing target at specified control points. Finally, obtained finding revealed application optimization help developing robust policy tackling change.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Water

سال: 2023

ISSN: ['2073-4441']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/w15091732